Showing posts with label spying. Show all posts
Showing posts with label spying. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Foreign Policy Paralysis

They say that when life gives you lemons, you should make lemonade. This is one of those positive, life-affirming statements that, when put together with an inspiring, Hallmark-esque picture of a kitten or a baby could make for a very annoying forward. This is, however, not enough for people who aren’t merely life affirming but rather life-seizing / life’s throat grabbers, the sort that are always ‘high on life’. For them, the statement was appropriated and modified to “When life gives you lemons, bring out the salt and tequila”. Personally, though, I always thought I’d fall into the more cynical category – that if life ever gave me lemons, I’d confront life and grumble “Seriously? A citrus fruit is the best you could do???” However, the only time that life did give me a lemon, I was simply puzzled and wondered why. This was a few years ago, at the end of an ex-colleague’s wedding lunch in Kerala – everyone was handed a lemon while they were leaving. Why?

This whole business of life handing lemons left, right and centre did, however, give me an idea to look at countries’ foreign policies through the lemon lens:
USA: When life gives you lemons, befriend life, find out where the lemons are grown and invade that territory in the name of democracy.
India: When life gives you lemons, thank life for the lemons but also complain about the fact that life hyphenated you with Pakistan by clubbing the both of you together in its South Asian tour and giving lemons to both.
Pakistan: When life gives you lemons, go to China and complain that life gave India extra lemons and ask for a few more lemons.
Germany: When life gives you lemons, lecture the Eurozone on why they’re in the mess they’re in because they wastefully squandered away the lemons that life gave them.
Great Britain: When life gives you lemons, help the US when they invade the place where the lemons are grown.
France: When life gives you lemons, just to be on the safe side, surrender.
Japan: When life gives you lemons, take them to your state-of-the-art lab, reverse engineer the shit out of them and then turn them into square lemons and tell life “How about that, eh?”

Ok, that last one really had nothing to do with foreign policy, so I should stop here. On a metaphorical level, though, life did give Hong Kong a big, juicy lemon in the form of Edward Snowden recently, so it was interesting to see how the Hong Kong government reacted to it:
“Mr Edward Snowden left Hong Kong today (June 23) on his own accord for a third country through a lawful and normal channel.
The US Government earlier on made a request to the HKSAR Government for the issue of a provisional warrant of arrest against Mr Snowden. Since the documents provided by the US Government did not fully comply with the legal requirements under Hong Kong law, the HKSAR Government has requested the US Government to provide additional information so that the Department of Justice could consider whether the US Government's request can meet the relevant legal conditions. As the HKSAR Government has yet to have sufficient information to process the request for provisional warrant of arrest, there is no legal basis to restrict Mr Snowden from leaving Hong Kong.
The HKSAR Government has already informed the US Government of Mr Snowden's departure.” 

In the world of politics and governments, people don’t go about telling “Fuck You” to each other. Not officially, at any rate. So for those of you who’ve ever wondered how one government would express the general sentiment behind “Fuck You” to another government, this is a very good, if rather long, example. In Bollywood terms, this is more the cool, insouciant and self-assured, “Tujhe jo karna hain kar le. Dekhte hain kyaa bigaad lega tu mera.” sort of “Fuck You” as opposed to the more rabid, hysterical but hollow, “Bahut galat kiyaa yeh tu nein! Tujhe chhodoonga nahin main! Tera pura khaandaan barbaad kar doonga, dekh lena! Samajhta kyaa hain apne aap ko? Tu jaanta nahin hain mein kaun hu!” The latter is probably closer to what the US reaction has been when they learned that Hong Kong had allowed Snowden to leave the country.

With Hong Kong, you could still understand though – it is now part of China, which is one few the few countries that can stand up to the US. What was more surprising, though, was the role of Ecuador in the whole saga. Here was little Ecuador, a mountainous country named after an imaginary line and filled with Llamas and Alpacas, that was standing up to the might of the US. Being neither Communist nor Islamic, and at the same time not harbouring any ambitions for a clandestine nuclear program, you did wonder why Ecuador of all countries thrust itself into the spotlight to take on the US. Sure, many countries would have justifiable grievances against the US, but common sense dictated that they didn’t mess with a country whose foreign policy could be summed up by the statement “When push comes to shove, we’d rather pummel, bulldoze and pulverize.” Even if you tried to steer clear of the US hit list, there was still the fear that you’d wake up one day to find yourself falsely accused of stockpiling weapons of mass destruction and be invaded anyway – so to willingly annoy that country smacked of an overtly suicidal streak.

Not surprisingly, the NSA revelations showed that it was the other big countries that were a target of US spying – the Europeans, Brazil, Russia, India, etc. But apart from a few small, socialist-leaning Latin American countries no one else seemed to be standing up to the US. Sure, it is the most powerful country in the world right now, but you’d still think the other countries would be fairly displeased to know that they’re being spied upon pretty much all the time. So it was pretty baffling too see barely a word of protest being registered. Unfortunately, this means that the US holds the ‘He’s got compromising pictures’ advantage over the rest of the world. For those unfamiliar, the “He’s got compromising pictures” advantage is the most popular form of blackmail in use these days, and can be described as follows:

You’ve seen them everywhere – if you’ve ever worked for or with any large organization, you’re bound to have come across one of them. The employee whose sole purpose of existence seems to be to waste some valuable space in an already overpopulated world; the employee whose IQ would be lesser than a turnip, a plank of wood and Paris Hilton put together. At first you might give him the benefit of the doubt – you might even go one step further and extend this to the benefit of uncertainty, ambiguity, perplexity, enigma and confusion – but after a while you’d realize that there’s simply no getting around his utter incompetence. Yet, he's in a senior position and wielding great power! You have no choice but to wonder – here is a big, prestigious organization full of clever people with big degrees working for them, and they have the most advanced psychometric tests and rigorous interview processes in place to recruit their employees – so what gives? You start questioning if there is any point to Human Resources as a discipline, or at least the recruiting part of it. Is it all just a sham? How does someone so obviously incapable manage to get into such a high position?

According to one popular theory called The Peter Principle, people keep getting promoted until they reach their level of incompetence, so that after a while all of senior management is essentially incompetent. But this still assumes there was some level of competence to begin with. I have come to the conclusion that there is something far more sinister at play – that there is only one possible explanation for such an employee – which is that he has compromising pictures of someone big and powerful. Earlier, it was probably much tougher to get hold of compromising pictures of someone – you’d have to hire a detective and wait for months. But with the advent of cellphone cameras anyone can have compromising pictures of big, powerful people with some amateur snooping. And once you have these pictures, you can just blackmail your way into senior positions in most organisations.

This, then, explains the silence of most of the world powers over the NSA revelations – why else would you be so nonchalant about the US spying on you? The Americans now have compromising pictures of most government officials across the world! And this blackmail would form the cornerstone of their foreign policy and consequently guide geopolitical decisions across the world.


Scary, isn’t it?

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

iSpy

For a long time, cyber-crime seemed like one of those harmless things that would only affect someone with the IQ of a plank of wood. Sure, someone somewhere in this world was diligently cooking up an elaborate new scheme to make you part with your money every week, but it essentially served the purpose of filler entertainment on slow work days. A doctor in the UK was looking for a “reliable and trustworthy” partner for an exciting new business opportunity and had magically narrowed down on you, you’d just won the Coca Cola lottery and were entitled to half a million dollars, a Nigerian prince wished to donate all his property to you and the Income Tax Department wished to refund you an amount greater than what you’d ever earned, out of the goodness of their hearts. You’d have to be a really gullible sort to fall for any of that – the sort who’d accept life-affirming advice dispensed by a suicide bomber, or be willing to pay Sreesanth to bowl badly when he would have done that anyway. It’s not something perfectly reasonable that you’d believe right away – like someone telling you about an omnipotent bearded fellow in the sky who controls everything that happens in this world.

This was, of course, until the Chinese came along. Suddenly, the Chinese weren’t just making bad products that you’d buy cheap but still regret when you realized it stopped working after the first week. The Chinese could now hack into your country’s central defence systems and scrawl upon the Ministry of Defence website “China wuz here” or “You no leave Arunachal? We attack! Last warning.” Cyber crime suddenly seemed to be the warfare of choice among the leading countries now that everyone had a nuclear bomb and could not physically attack each other. It turned out that China had trained thousands of hackers who’d sit all day and hack into their enemies’ defence secrets while watching YouTube videos of a tap-dancing cat wearing a bowler hat – and this was how wars would now be fought in the future.

Just as Barack Obama was getting ready with the final draft of his note “Rip into the Chinese PM and tear him to shreds over this whole cyber crime thing”, the NSA revelations came to light. Obama would’ve dejectedly recalled the famous quote cautioning people against enumerating their poultry before the onset of the hatching process, while China, which had so far been reduced to playing the meek Clarke Kent role, had now got its telephone booth. It turned out that the US had been cyber spying on the world all along, and here was conclusive proof that it had engaged in all the dirty, despicable, malicious, loathsome, repulsive, malevolent, depraved, nefarious, sordid, vile, low-life, reprehensible cyber stuff it was accusing China of, plus some more! It’s a bit like getting scared about being caught while stealing from the cookie jar, only for it to turn out that the person catching you was actually stealing the entire jar!

As is usually the case when something big happens with the USA, questions about US dominance were being raised. Would American hegemony & preeminence in world affairs finally come to an end? Had the US taken one step too far even for them to get away with it? Was the US finally a victim of its own hubris? Was this the beginning of the end for the greatest country in the world? Tune in at the same time next week to find out what REALLY happens. A lot of commentators felt that this might be the case, and came up with a number of well-reasoned arguments to bolster the case.

There was, however, one crucial thing that they missed out on. It seems that the US cyber spying included all mails, phone calls, text messages, Skype calls, Apple/Google data and Facebook, among others.

Facebook!

Think about it – as a citizen, even if I were to accept my government’s argument that all this spying was of utmost necessity to keep me safe, I’d still be mighty pissed if my tax money were being utilized to spy on people through Facebook. Facebook intelligence sounds like an oxymoronic term – after five years on Facebook I’ve yet to come across any information that comes close to qualifying as ‘intelligence’! I can understand that maybe they’d glean some important information through emails or phone calls – but Facebook? It’s not like you’d accidentally stumble upon a post on Osama’s wall that says:
“Ayman al Zawahiri has invited you to the event: Serial Blasts in Tokyo.
Date: 13th June 2013. Time: 12:30 p.m. Venue: In & Around Tokyo Tower, Tokyo.
RSVP – Yes, I will attend; Maybe; Sorry, can’t make it”

Mullah Omar – Osama, costs are going up, we need to downsize. Organize suicide missions ASAP to trim workforce by 10%.

Osama’s Status: New Jihadist track is totally inspiring. All set for my next big plan to teach the infidels a lesson – storm the Engineering college in Bristol!
[Ayman al Zawahiri, Ahmed Awlaki, Hafeez Saeed, Mohammed Atta and 133,654 others like this]

The weekly status meetings must be pretty depressing for the spy in charge of Facebook spying. Every Monday morning, when the NSA is taking stock of the situation, he’d probably be wishing for some terrorists to storm the building and take everyone hostage instead of being subject to this weekly ritual of humiliation.

NSA Chief: All right folks, what have y’all got for me this week?
E-Mail Spy: We have credible intelligence that a hostage attack is being planned in the heart of Rome.
Phone Calls Spy: There is reason to believe that a plane flying from a Texas airport could be hijacked in the next 2 weeks.
Text Messages Spy: We need to intercept an arms shipment that could be used for a terror attack – they’re likely to try and ship it in off the coast of Southern Florida.
Facebook Spy: Alice got wasted at the last party and kissed Doug. Josh went to Mexico for his holidays. Fallon put up pictures of his cat playing the piano.

Another fallout of this whole saga is that those looking at spying as an exciting, glamorous and jet setting career opportunity would need to do a bit of a rethink. The NSA activities should now replace James Bond movies as the point of reference for the life of a spy. Or, the James Bond movies could change to reflect the new age, sinister-but-boring reality of a spy’s life.

M: James, the terrorists have stolen the codes to detonate a nuclear device that could destroy the world. Our sources tell us that they’re currently on a train from Cairo to Alexandria.
James: Don’t worry, M – I’m on it. I’ll get into a helicopter and then climb down from the helicopter into that train and have an elaborate chase sequence after which I’ll jump off at the station and run after them through a crowded, exotic marketplace and then they’ll get into a taxi and a car will appear for me and there’ll be a long car chase ending in a crash after which I’ll again chase them on foot while showing off my parkour skills jumping from one building to another and then…
M: You’ll do none of that, James. What is this, 1980?
James (taken aback): Then what do you want me to do, M?
M: Nothing. You’ll log in to Facebook and click “Like” on the terrorist’s new status message. Then you keep your eyes on his Facebook page at all times. Inform me the minute there’s an update.


Ok. Maybe writing scripts for James Bond movies isn’t my thing. But one cant help shake off the feeling that you can’t be productive if you’re on Facebook all the time – even if it’s massive, global-scale spying that you’re doing. And if that’s what the US spying machinery shall be devoted to, the future indeed doesn't look very promising for American hegemony in world affairs.